Getting Ready for the Big One – the 1906 Earthquake Today

A chance to hear from Swiss, U.S. and Japanese earthquake luminaries on the inevtiable Big One.

Event Details


swissnex San Francisco
730 Montgomery St., San Francisco, 94111 United States


April 20, 2006 from 4:00 pm to 8:00 pm America/Los Angeles (UTC-08:00)

Within the next 25 years, scientists estimate a 62% probability of at least one magnitude 6.7 or greater quake striking the San Francisco Bay region. Combined losses from the 1906 and 1989 quakes totaled 6000+ and 63 human lives, and property damage of $400M and $6B, respectively – ’89 reconstruction is expected to last 20+ years.

What can science tell us about the next one?

  • Will monitoring methods and technologies buy us time?
  • Are major earthquake-prone countries — US, Switzerland and Japan – prepared to the same degree?
  • How do major insurers assess the personal risks and economic losses?

Join in a discussion with earthquake luminaries from Switzerland, the U.S. and Japan on the inevitable big one. Where it will hit, how we can prepare, what to expect…


6:00 pm doors open – networking & cocktail reception
7:00 pm keynote addresses

  • “Are Earthquakes Predictable ?”, with Tom Jordan, Professor of Earth Sciences, University of Southern California & Director of the Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC)
  • “Readiness around the Globe”, with Domenico Giardini, Professor of Seismology and Geodynamics ETH Zürich; Director of the Swiss Seismological Service
  • “Insurance for the Inevitable”, with Andy Castaldi, Swiss Re Americas Divison, Head, Catastrophe and Perils
  • “The 1906 Earthquake–lessons learned, lessons forgotten and future directions”, with Mary-Lou Zoback, Senior Research Scientist, USGS Earthquake Hazards Team

followed by a moderated panel discussion and Q&As; to include:

  • Ishida Mizuho, Research Scientist, Japan National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention (NEID), and Mark Zoback, Professor of Geophysics & Benjamin M. Page Professor of Earth Sciences, Stanford University

10:00 pm doors close


Photo: Myleen Hollero